Small Macroeconometric Model of the Philippine Economy

Two reports issued by the Asian Dev't. Bank: (1) Describes a small quarterly macroeconometric model of the Philippine (PH) economy. The model consists of sectors of private consumption, invest., gov't., trade, production, prices, money, & labor. The tracking perform. of the model is evaluated & found satisfactory. The PH gov't. must address its debt problem for it to achieve higher future growth. It is highly vulnerable to external shocks. (2) Assesses empirically the sustainability & feasibility of the gov't. debt in the PH using the No Ponzi Game criterion. Both historical data & forecasts generated by a quarterly macroecon. model of the Philippines are used in the assessment. Stochastic simulations are carried out to mimic future uncertainty. Illus.Ducanes, Geoffrey is the author of 'Small Macroeconometric Model of the Philippine Economy', published 2005 under ISBN 9781422300138 and ISBN 1422300137.